Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ilves 2-0 Mariehamn
Original prediction
Ilves
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Ilves
Probability
77.2%
Model confidence
12.4%
Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IlvesLLWWL
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
MariehamnLDLLL
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
IlvesMariehamn
54.4Attack15.8
45.6Defence28.1
43.9Form8.8
48.5Power21.8
2.73xG0.73