Ilvesvs
Åland United
COMPLETEDFinland · Kansallinen Liiga · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Åland United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Ilves are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Åland United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Åland United hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Åland United holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Åland United
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
8.2%
Åland United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00