GGOALVIO

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Åland United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

Ilves are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Åland United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Åland United hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Åland United holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Åland United

Probability

67.6%

Model confidence

8.2%

Åland United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IlvesLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Åland UnitedDLWWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IlvesÅland United
60.0Attack97.8
35.6Defence57.8
48.9Form68.9
49.3Power71.0
1.57xG3.34
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