Ilvesvs
IF Gnistan
SCHEDULEDFinland · Kansallinen Liiga · 8/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Ilves W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while IF Gnistan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves W hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Ilves W holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves
Probability
64.0%
Model confidence
7.8%
Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40