GGOALVIO

Ilves logoIlvesvsIF Gnistan logoIF Gnistan

SCHEDULED

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 8/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ilves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Ilves W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while IF Gnistan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves W hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Ilves W holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ilves

Probability

64.0%

Model confidence

7.8%

Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IlvesLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
IF GnistanLLDLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IlvesIF Gnistan
60.0Attack48.9
35.6Defence22.2
48.9Form28.9
49.3Power33.7
3.22xG1.69
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