IlvesvsIF Gnistan

Ilves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while IF Gnistan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.