Ilves Tamperevs
HJK helsinki
SCHEDULEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 8/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ilves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while HJK Helsinki are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK Helsinki hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 53.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Veikkausliiga, favouring a draw with 11.9% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.1%
Model confidence
11.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80