Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ilves are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Haka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00