Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Ilves are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FF Jaro are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.4% in the Veikkausliiga, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
67.4%
Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00