GGOALVIO

Ilves Tampere logoIlves Tamperevsvaasa PS logovaasa PS

SCHEDULED

Finland · Veikkausliiga · 8/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

vaasa PS · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ilves are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while VPS are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Veikkausliiga, while VPS holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

vaasa PS

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

vaasa PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ilves TampereDWLLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
vaasa PSLWLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ilves Tamperevaasa PS
54.4Attack46.7
45.6Defence65.0
43.9Form50.0
48.5Power54.7
1.21xG1.42
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