Ilves Tamperevs
KuPS
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 4/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ilves Tampere are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while KuPS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
11.7%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60