Ilves Tamperevs
IFK Mariehamn
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves Tampere · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Ilves are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mariehamn are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 21.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Veikkausliiga, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves Tampere
Probability
77.2%
Model confidence
12.4%
Ilves Tampere has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80