Ilves Tamperevs
IF Gnistan
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 5/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Gnistan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ilves Tampere are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while IF Gnistan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Gnistan hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Veikkausliiga, while IF Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF Gnistan
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
IF Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00