GGOALVIO

Finland · Veikkausliiga · 7/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ilves Tampere are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Lahti are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lahti hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Veikkausliiga, while FC Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Lahti

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

14.7%

FC Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ilves TampereLWWDL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC LahtiWWWDD

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ilves TampereFC Lahti
54.4Attack38.6
45.6Defence71.9
43.9Form45.6
48.5Power52.7
0.97xG1.16
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