GGOALVIO

Finland · Kakkonen - Lohko B · 5/6/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ilves II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Ilves II are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Tampere United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves II hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while Ilves II holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ilves II

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Ilves II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ilves IILLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Tampere UnitedWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ilves IITampere United
93.8Attack60.6
43.8Defence51.5
56.3Form56.1
62.0Power57.0
2.99xG1.93
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