Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Ilves II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while P-Iirot are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves II hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 56.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.0% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while Ilves II holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves II
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
8.0%
Ilves II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40