GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Illescas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Illescas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pozuelo Alarcón are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Illescas hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Illescas holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Illescas

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

11.3%

Illescas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IllescasDLDWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Pozuelo AlarcónLL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
IllescasPozuelo Alarcón
33.3Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.85xG1.36
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