GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 7/29/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Illertissen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Illertissen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Wacker Burghausen are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Wacker Burghausen hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 79.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Illertissen holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Illertissen

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Illertissen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IllertissenLWWWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Wacker BurghausenDWDWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
IllertissenWacker Burghausen
77.8Attack88.9
77.8Defence77.8
77.8Form77.8
77.5Power79.5
1.63xG1.44
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