Illertissenvs
TSV 1860 München
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TSV 1860 München · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Illertissen 1-1 TSV 1860 München
Original prediction
TSV 1860 München
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.3% | 34.7% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.5% | 27.2% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.2% | 38.0% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
TSV 1860 München
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
TSV 1860 München has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80