Regionalliga - BayernRegionalliga - Bayern
Friday, 31 July 202618:00Updated today
Illertissen

Illertissen

Home
W
vs
18:00
Schwaben Augsburg

Schwaben Augsburg

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
Illertissen(49%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Illertissen
49%
Draw
27%
Schwaben Augsburg
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Illertissen
73
Schwaben Augsburg
34
Defence
Illertissen
66
Schwaben Augsburg
27
Momentum
Illertissen
100
Schwaben Augsburg
0
Danger (xG)
Illertissen
1.80
Schwaben Augsburg
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Illertissen)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Schwaben Augsburg)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Illertissen)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Schwaben Augsburg)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
IllertissenIllertissen
W
Schwaben AugsburgSchwaben Augsburg
L

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Illertissen49%
Draw27%
Schwaben Augsburg24%

Illertissen leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Illertissen head into this in Regionalliga - Bayern fixture in mixed form (W), while Schwaben Augsburg arrive in mixed form (L). Illertissen have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Schwaben Augsburg over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Illertissen's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Schwaben Augsburg defence (27/100), while Schwaben Augsburg's attack is up against a solid Illertissen backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Illertissen's favour.

Illertissen have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Schwaben Augsburg have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Illertissen have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Illertissen to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Illertissen 4870%, Draw 2695%, Schwaben Augsburg 2435%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Illertissen 1Draws 00 Schwaben Augsburg
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
16 May 2026
Illertissen
W21
Schwaben Augsburg

Recent form

Illertissen

Illertissen

W
vs Schwaben Augsburg
16 May 2026
21
Schwaben Augsburg

Schwaben Augsburg

L
@ Illertissen
16 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Illertissen vs Schwaben Augsburg?

GoalVio's model predicts Illertissen to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Illertissen vs Schwaben Augsburg?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Illertissen vs Schwaben Augsburg?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Illertissen vs Schwaben Augsburg?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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