Ilkeston Townvs
Rylands
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rylands · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ilkeston Town 0-1 Rylands
Original prediction
Rylands
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.7% | 25.3% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.3% | 25.3% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.0% | 49.5% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Rylands
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Rylands has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00