Ilkeston Townvs
Quorn
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ilkeston Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Quorn are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilkeston Town hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Non League Premier - Northern, favouring a draw with 12.6% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.4%
Model confidence
12.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40