Ilirijavs
Tabor Sežana
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 2. SNL · 10/16/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tabor Sežana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ilirija 0-1 Tabor Sežana
Original prediction
Tabor Sežana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.41 | 26.2% | 27.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.6% | 28.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.2% | 43.6% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Tabor Sežana
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Tabor Sežana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40