Iliria Fushë-Krujëvs
Burreli
COMPLETEDAlbania · 1st Division · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iliria Fushë-Krujë · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1-0 Burreli
Original prediction
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.7% | 42.1% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.0% | 28.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.65 | 19.3% | 29.7% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Iliria Fushë-Krujë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80