UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 12:34
Žilina

Žilina

Home
WL
21
Full time
HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split

Away
LW
Štadión pod Dubňom
GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
HNK Hajduk Split(48%)
Most likely exact score0-2
Prediction missed— Result: Žilina
Win probability
Žilina
26%
Draw
26%
HNK Hajduk Split
48%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Žilina
34
HNK Hajduk Split
54
Defence
Žilina
46
HNK Hajduk Split
66
Momentum
Žilina
50
HNK Hajduk Split
50
Danger (xG)
Žilina
0.00
HNK Hajduk Split
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Žilina)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (HNK Hajduk Split)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Žilina)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (HNK Hajduk Split)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ŽilinaŽilina
WLDL
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
LWD

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Žilina26%
Draw26%
HNK Hajduk Split48%

HNK Hajduk Split leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Žilina head into this in UEFA Europa League fixture at Štadión pod Dubňom in mixed form (WL), while HNK Hajduk Split arrive in mixed form (LW). Žilina have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for HNK Hajduk Split over 2 games.

The model rates Žilina's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 HNK Hajduk Split defence, and HNK Hajduk Split's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 Žilina backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Žilina have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. HNK Hajduk Split have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Žilina have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match. HNK Hajduk Split have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

The last 2 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, averaging 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects HNK Hajduk Split to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-2. Win probabilities: Žilina 2591%, Draw 2560%, HNK Hajduk Split 4849%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Žilina 1Draws 01 HNK Hajduk Split
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS in 1/2
16 Jul 2026
Žilina
W21
HNK Hajduk Split
xG 0.00.0
9 Jul 2026
Žilina
L02
HNK Hajduk Split
xG 0.00.0

Recent form

Žilina

Žilina

W
vs HNK Hajduk Split
16 Jul 2026
21
xG 0.0
L
@ HNK Hajduk Split
9 Jul 2026
02
xG 0.0
D
@ Odra Opole
28 Jun 2026
00
L
vs Podbrezová
16 May 2026
02
HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split

L
@ Žilina
16 Jul 2026
12
xG 0.0
W
vs Žilina
9 Jul 2026
20
xG 0.0
D
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?

GoalVio's model predicts HNK Hajduk Split to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-2.

Will both teams score in Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more