Žilina IIvs
Považská Bystrica
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 9/20/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Žilina II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Žilina II 4-2 Považská Bystrica
Original prediction
Žilina II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.8% | 38.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.4% | 27.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 36.8% | 34.6% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Žilina II
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Žilina II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80