Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ilbirs are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Talant are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (WDD), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Talant hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 8 · avg 0.00/2.67
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.67/0.33