GGOALVIO

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 5/2/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Muras United · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Ilbirs are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Muras United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Muras United hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 70.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Premier League, while Muras United holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Muras United

Probability

68.1%

Model confidence

12.8%

Muras United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IlbirsDDLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Muras UnitedWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
IlbirsMuras United
43.3Attack68.5
46.7Defence70.4
38.3Form72.2
43.6Power70.5
0.76xG2.17
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