Ilbirsvs
Muras United
COMPLETEDKyrgyzstan · Premier League · 5/2/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muras United · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Ilbirs are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Muras United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Muras United hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 70.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Premier League, while Muras United holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Muras United
Probability
68.1%
Model confidence
12.8%
Muras United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80