Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilbirs · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ilbirs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Asiagoal are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilbirs hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Premier League, while Ilbirs holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilbirs
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Ilbirs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60