Ikorodu Cityvs
Kwara United
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ikorodu City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ikorodu City 0-0 Kwara United, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ikorodu City 2-0 Kwara United
Original prediction
Ikorodu City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.3% | 45.3% | -15.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.6% | 29.5% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 6.44 | 14.1% | 25.3% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.0 pts
Projected Score
Ikorodu City 0–0 Kwara United
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Ikorodu City
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Ikorodu City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ikorodu CityLDWLD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Kwara UnitedWLWLW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ikorodu CityKwara United
44.4Attack42.9
72.2Defence66.7
50.0Form47.6
56.9Power53.7
1.02xG0.79