GGOALVIO

Nigeria · NPFL · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ikorodu City · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ikorodu City 2-0 Enugu Rangers

Original prediction

Ikorodu City

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5956.5%39.5%-17.0 pts
Draw3.4026.5%28.0%1.6 pts
Away5.2717.1%32.5%15.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-17.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–011%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Ikorodu City

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Ikorodu City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ikorodu CityLDDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Enugu RangersWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Ikorodu CityEnugu Rangers
50.0Attack58.3
58.3Defence66.7
41.7Form66.7
51.6Power66.3
1.10xG1.20
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