Ikorodu Cityvs
Barau FC
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ikorodu City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ikorodu City 0-0 Barau FC
Original prediction
Ikorodu City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.8% | 40.4% | -19.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.5% | 28.4% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 7.06 | 12.8% | 31.2% | 18.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Ikorodu City
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Ikorodu City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60