GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/1/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasteras SK FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

IK brage are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vasteras SK FK are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasteras SK FK hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Superettan, while Vasteras SK FK holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasteras SK FK

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

Vasteras SK FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IK brageWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vasteras SK FKWLLWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
IK brageVasteras SK FK
55.6Attack53.3
38.9Defence73.3
37.0Form70.0
45.0Power66.5
0.89xG1.92
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