Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandviken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IK brage 1-1 Sandviken
Original prediction
Sandviken
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 34.5% | 32.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 26.2% | 22.1% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 39.3% | 45.1% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Sandviken
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Sandviken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IK brageDLLLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SandvikenLWDDW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
IK brageSandviken
52.2Attack52.2
36.2Defence53.6
31.9Form43.5
41.6Power50.3
1.52xG1.87