GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 5/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ostersunds FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

IK brage are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ostersunds FK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ostersunds FK hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Superettan, while Ostersunds FK holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ostersunds FK

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Ostersunds FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IK brageWLDWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ostersunds FKDWLLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IK brageOstersunds FK
55.6Attack51.9
38.9Defence61.1
37.0Form59.3
45.0Power59.7
1.33xG1.82
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