Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IK brage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IK brage 4-5 Osters IF
Original prediction
IK brage
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.9% | 37.0% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.1% | 26.7% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 31.0% | 36.4% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
IK brage
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
IK brage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IK brageLWDLD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Osters IFWLLLW
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IK brageOsters IF
50.6Attack50.6
38.3Defence49.4
32.1Form48.1
41.8Power50.6
1.60xG1.77