GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IK brage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

IK brage 2-0 Helsingborg

Original prediction

IK brage

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3039.9%38.6%-1.4 pts
Draw3.5425.9%27.6%1.7 pts
Away2.6834.2%33.9%-0.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

IK brage

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

IK brage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IK brageDLDDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
HelsingborgDLWLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
IK brageHelsingborg
52.0Attack48.0
36.0Defence40.0
30.7Form40.0
41.1Power44.6
1.98xG1.71
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