GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IK brage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

IK brage 0-1 GIF Sundsvall

Original prediction

IK brage

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6157.3%69.2%11.9 pts
Draw3.9323.4%17.4%-6.0 pts
Away4.7819.3%13.4%-5.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–010%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.3–09%

Predicted outcome

IK brage

Probability

69.2%

Model confidence

69.2%

IK brage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IK brageLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GIF SundsvallWLLDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
IK brageGIF Sundsvall
55.6Attack23.8
33.3Defence30.2
33.3Form20.6
42.2Power28.5
2.60xG0.94
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