Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IK brage · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
IK brage are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gefle IF are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and IK brage hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while IK brage holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IK brage
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
IK brage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40