Ijsselmeervogelsvs
Spakenburg
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ijsselmeervogels · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ijsselmeervogels 1-0 Spakenburg, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ijsselmeervogels 2-1 Spakenburg
Original prediction
Ijsselmeervogels
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.8% | 46.3% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.0% | 27.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 36.2% | 26.6% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Projected Score
Ijsselmeervogels 1–0 Spakenburg
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ijsselmeervogels
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Ijsselmeervogels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20