Ijsselmeervogelsvs
Rijnsburgse Boys
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ijsselmeervogels · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ijsselmeervogels 3-0 Rijnsburgse Boys
Original prediction
Ijsselmeervogels
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.0% | 50.3% | 12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.7% | 22.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.3% | 26.8% | -11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Ijsselmeervogels
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Ijsselmeervogels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80