Ijsselmeervogelsvs
Koninklijke HFC
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ijsselmeervogels · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ijsselmeervogels 2-0 Koninklijke HFC
Original prediction
Ijsselmeervogels
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.3% | 60.8% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.6% | 21.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.32 | 21.1% | 17.5% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Ijsselmeervogels
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Ijsselmeervogels has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80