Igea Virtusvs
Reggina
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie D · 10/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reggina · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Igea Virtus 3-2 Reggina
Original prediction
Reggina
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.0% | 34.5% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.2% | 28.9% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 47.8% | 36.6% | -11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Reggina
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Reggina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.25/1.75
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20