Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÅIFK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ÅIFK 0-0 EPS
Original prediction
ÅIFK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.0% | 55.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.3% | 20.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 22.7% | 23.6% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
ÅIFK
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
ÅIFK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ÅIFKLWWLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EPSLWWWW
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ÅIFKEPS
66.7Attack71.7
66.7Defence53.3
70.0Form58.3
68.3Power60.8
2.14xG1.33