IFK Varnamovs
Varbergs BoIS FC
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Varbergs BoIS FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Varnamo 1-1 Varbergs BoIS FC
Original prediction
Varbergs BoIS FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.6% | 23.2% | -16.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.1% | 21.3% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.3% | 55.6% | 22.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Varbergs BoIS FC
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Varbergs BoIS FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80