IFK Varnamovs
Sandviken
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandviken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Varnamo 0-1 Sandviken
Original prediction
Sandviken
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.8% | 35.1% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.4% | 27.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.8% | 37.8% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Sandviken
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Sandviken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20