IFK Varnamovs
Osters IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Osters IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Varnamo 1-3 Osters IF
Original prediction
Osters IF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 48.6% | 36.2% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.4% | 22.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.9% | 41.0% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Osters IF
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Osters IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00