SuperettanSuperettan
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:07
IFK Varnamo

IFK Varnamo

Home
L
00
Full time
IK brage

IK brage

Away
LW
Finnvedsvallen
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
IK brage(44%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
IFK Varnamo
29%
Draw
27%
IK brage
44%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
IFK Varnamo
9
IK brage
97
Defence
IFK Varnamo
27
IK brage
14
Momentum
IFK Varnamo
0
IK brage
50
Danger (xG)
IFK Varnamo
0.00
IK brage
3.15
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (IFK Varnamo)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (IK brage)
3.15
avg per match
xG against (IFK Varnamo)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (IK brage)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo
LLLDL
IK brageIK brage
LWDL

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
IFK Varnamo29%
Draw27%
IK brage44%

IK brage leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

IFK Varnamo head into this in Superettan fixture at Finnvedsvallen in mixed form (L), while IK brage arrive in mixed form (LW). IFK Varnamo have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for IK brage over 2 games.

The model rates IFK Varnamo's attack at 9/100 against a 14/100 IK brage defence, and IK brage's attack at 97/100 against a 27/100 IFK Varnamo backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

IFK Varnamo have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match. IK brage have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

IK brage have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 6.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects IK brage to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: IFK Varnamo 2934%, Draw 2678%, IK brage 4387%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

IFK Varnamo 0Draws 01 IK brage
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
21 Jun 2026
IFK Varnamo
L15
IK brage

Recent form

IFK Varnamo

IFK Varnamo

L
vs Naestved
13 Jul 2026
02
L
@ Landskrona BoIS
28 Jun 2026
01
L
@ IK brage
21 Jun 2026
15
D
vs Norrby IF
17 May 2026
22
L
vs Orebro SK
12 May 2026
01
IK brage

IK brage

L
vs Falkenbergs FF
26 Jun 2026
24
W
vs IFK Varnamo
21 Jun 2026
51
D
vs IFK Norrkoping
16 May 2026
00
L
vs Ostersunds FK
13 May 2026
24

Frequently asked questions

Who will win IFK Varnamo vs IK brage?

GoalVio's model predicts IK brage to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for IFK Varnamo vs IK brage?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in IFK Varnamo vs IK brage?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in IFK Varnamo vs IK brage?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more