GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IFK Varnamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

IFK Varnamo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while GIF Sundsvall are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and IFK Varnamo hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 25.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Superettan, while IFK Varnamo holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IFK Varnamo

Probability

62.6%

Model confidence

10.8%

IFK Varnamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IFK VarnamoLLLDL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
GIF SundsvallWWWLD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IFK VarnamoGIF Sundsvall
40.7Attack24.1
33.3Defence22.2
31.5Form16.7
36.8Power25.0
2.11xG0.94
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