IFK Varnamovs
Falkenbergs FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falkenbergs FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Varnamo 1-2 Falkenbergs FF
Original prediction
Falkenbergs FF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.5% | 31.1% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.0% | 27.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.5% | 41.3% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Falkenbergs FF
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Falkenbergs FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80