IFK Umeåvs
Umeå FC Akademi
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 8/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Umeå FC Akademi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Umeå 1-5 Umeå FC Akademi
Original prediction
Umeå FC Akademi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.90 | 23.3% | 24.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.4% | 19.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 55.4% | 56.3% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Umeå FC Akademi
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Umeå FC Akademi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80