Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Storfors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
IFK Umeå are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Storfors are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Storfors hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 32.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Storfors holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Storfors
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
8.6%
Storfors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80